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Lewis, NY · ZIP 13367 · Census Tract 36049950401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$176K
Downside (P10)
$145K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$191K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$246K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $119K | $126K | $146K | $158K | $170K | $176K | $181K | $186K | $191K | $179K |
| YoY Change | +5.6% | +16.1% | +8.2% | +8.0% | +3.6% | +3.0% | +2.4% | +2.6% | -6.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $149K | $146K | $145K | $157K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $218K | $234K | $246K | $199K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$149K to $218K
38.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$157K to $199K
23.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watson area | $178K | $191K | +7.1% | |
| Lowville | $172K | $190K | +10.5% | |
| Harrisburg area | $179K | $194K | +8.4% | |
| Croghan area (Tract 950200) | $169K | $180K | +6.6% | |
| Croghan area (Tract 950101) | $172K | $183K | +6.0% | |
| Martinsburg area | $174K | $179K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watson area | $178K | $191K | +7.1% | |
| Lyonsdale | $113K | $128K | +13.6% | |
| Watson area | $151K | $170K | +13.0% | |
| West Turin area | $167K | $188K | +12.5% | |
| Lowville | $172K | $190K | +10.5% | |
| Harrisburg area | $179K | $194K | +8.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watson area | $178K | $191K | $100K | |
| Harrisburg area | $179K | $194K | $99K | |
| Watson area | $151K | $170K | $97K | |
| Croghan area | $169K | $180K | $96K | |
| Martinsburg area | $174K | $179K | $82K | |
| Lyonsdale | $113K | $128K | $54K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.