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Suffolk, NY · ZIP 11704 · Census Tract 36103122901 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$547K
Downside (P10)
$473K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$584K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$864K
+58% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +58%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $344K | $338K | $347K | $359K | $376K | $391K | $406K | $453K | $496K | $549K | $547K | $556K | $570K | $584K |
| YoY Change | -1.8% | +2.7% | +3.5% | +4.6% | +4.0% | +3.8% | +11.6% | +9.6% | +10.5% | -0.3% | +1.6% | +2.6% | +2.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $468K | $477K | $473K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $722K | $776K | $864K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$468K to $722K
45.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$473K to $864K
67.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Babylon · 11704 · (Tract 1229.1) | $559K | $584K | +4.5% | |
| Deer Park (Tract 122604) | $541K | $589K | +8.9% | |
| East Farmingdale | $558K | $607K | +8.8% | |
| Deer Park (Tract 122706) | $559K | $605K | +8.3% | |
| South Huntington | $553K | $596K | +7.8% | |
| Huntington | $546K | $581K | +6.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Babylon · 11704 · (Tract 1229.1) | $559K | $584K | +4.5% | |
| Fort Salonga | $800K | $939K | +17.5% | |
| Huntington | $718K | $834K | +16.2% | |
| Melville | $825K | $957K | +16.1% | |
| Elwood | $808K | $921K | +14.1% | |
| Huntington Station | $586K | $667K | +13.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Babylon · 11704 · (Tract 1229.1) | $559K | $584K | $392K | |
| Huntington Station (Tract 111103) | $482K | $532K | $274K | |
| West Babylon (Tract 122408) | $533K | $577K | $274K | |
| Deer Park | $532K | $543K | $274K | |
| West Babylon (Tract 122502) | $501K | $520K | $269K | |
| Huntington Station (Tract 111002) | $569K | $600K | $268K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.